SPX Bullish Breakout Rejected – Range Flips Back to Bearish | SPX Market Briefing | 10 Oct 2025

Our traders seemed to have been doing very well this week with the short term swings and daily poppers - done all on their own with a mechanical set of rules.

That’s the beauty of systematic frameworks: They keep delivering whether you’re monitoring every tick or out enjoying life!

SPX Doesn’t Need You To Be Right. Just Consistent.

Pulse bar tells you when. Credit spreads handle the rest.

SPX Market Briefing:

Friday brings the return from holiday, battery assessment at 87%, and catching up with where systematic positioning stands after a week of independent operation.

Current Multi-Market Status:

• SPX: Small range developed, bullish breakout rejected, flipped back bearish

• Trader Status: Flat, seeking bear entry near upper range boundary

• Short Term Traders: Crushing swings and daily poppers successfully

• Battery Level: 87% (piggyback ride taxation applied)

• Weekend Mission: Multi-market instrument analysis for Monday prep

Weekly Performance Review

Price developed a small range over the last few days, attempted a bullish breakout, then retreated back inside the range to flip bearish.

The systematic traders weren’t waiting for permission or holiday return confirmations. Short term swings and daily poppers kept delivering profits while everyone is worried about a government shutdown.

That’s what proper frameworks provide – independence from noise and bias. The rules work if you stick to the plan.

SPX Range Dynamics

Small range formation over recent sessions created classic compression before the breakout attempt. Bulls tried their luck pushing higher, but price rejected the breakout and retreated back inside range boundaries.

The flip back to bearish creates exactly the setup for returning traders seeking entry opportunities.

Current Status: Range confirmed, bearish bias active

Upper Boundary Positioning

Currently flat and looking for new entry points. Bear swing makes perfect sense given positioning near the upper range boundary. Hopping on the bear range train gets me caught up with the system exactly where systematic logic suggests entry.

Upper range boundaries provide natural resistance for bearish positioning. When price rejects breakouts and flips bias, that’s the systematic signal screaming “boarding time for bear train departures.”

Entry Strategy: Bear swing from upper range boundary resistance

Weekend Preparation Protocol

I’ll explore the other instruments over the weekend, getting everything lined up and ready for Monday’s trading. RUT, ES, GC, CL – full multi-market analysis coming to ensure systematic positioning covers all available opportunities.

Holiday return doesn’t mean jumping straight back into random trades. It means methodical review, proper preparation, and systematic entry when conditions align.

Today’s Systematic Plan:

• SPX: Target bear swing entry near upper range boundary

• Position Status: Flat seeking systematic entry signal

• Weekend Prep: Multi-market instrument analysis across all traded vehicles

• Battery Management: 87% sufficient for systematic trade execution

• Short Term Traders: Continue crushing swings and daily poppers

  

  Fun Fact:

  Market Corrections: The 10% Reality Check

  A “market correction” is Wall Street’s polite way of saying “shit happens”—typically defined as a 10-20% decline that reminds everyone that stocks don’t actually go up forever!
  

  Market corrections are Wall Street’s equivalent of your parents reminding you that money doesn’t grow on trees, except the reminder comes with a 10-20% portfolio haircut that makes you question every financial decision you’ve ever made!
  

  The term “correction” is deliciously ironic because it implies that rising stock prices were somehow wrong and needed to be fixed, like the market is a stern teacher marking errors with red ink made of investor tears.
  

  These corrections happen roughly every year or two, serving as regular reminders that the stock market’s natural state isn’t “constantly going up” despite what everyone’s 401(k) statements during bull markets suggest.
  

  They’re called corrections because they theoretically correct overvaluation, but they feel more like the market’s way of saying “remember me? I can go down too!” The financial media treats corrections like natural disasters, with breathless coverage about “plunging markets” and “investor panic,” when really it’s just stocks doing what they’ve always done—fluctuating in ways that make humans uncomfortable.
  

  Professional investors know corrections are normal and healthy, like forest fires that clear out dead wood, while retail investors treat them like personal attacks on their retirement plans. The irony is that corrections often create the best buying opportunities, but most people are too busy panicking to notice!
  

  

Trade well,
T2 Markets

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