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Trump Paused the Strikes. Iran Said the Talks Never Existed. Goldman Raised Recession Odds to 30%.
OPEX Removed the Shock Absorber – $1.4 Trillion in Delta Notional Gone – Realized Vol Has Room to Expand
Triple Witching Today – Sloppy, Messy, Fun – Contracts Roll, Prices Yoyo, Then Yeehaw
1 and Done Yesterday on Both Instruments – High Probabilities Don’t Care About the News
FOMC Day. $103 Oil. The Press Conference That Moves Everything.
To Spike or Not to Spike – A Tariff Rumor, a White House Denial, and a 2% Move in Both Directions
Three Weeks of War, One Pivotal Keynote, and a Central Bank Cornered by Stagflation
Home Run Friday, 6 From 6, Best Week Ever, and Afternoon Trades. The Wall Doesn’t Care About the News.
Dead Cat Confirmed – The Mid-Week Bounce Was the Distraction, the Breakdown Was the Message
Yesterday: 6 Trades, 6 Wins – Mostly From Live Sessions – The Scrappy Day That Paid Anyway
TnT Is Technically Bullish. The Range Says Bearish. PopPop Is Human. Both Things Are True.
VIX Still Flirting With Range Highs – Tensions Not Gone, Just Temporarily Distracted
